09/27/2021 at 12:10 AM CEST
AC Milan vs Atlético
Atlético de Madrid knows that it cannot afford more mistakes in the group of death of this edition of the Champions League. The rojiblancos drew nothing in their debut against Porto and now visit the emblematic San Siro field to face AC Milan that gave Liverpool a lot of war on the opening day forcing to fall 3-2. The Lombards are going like a shot in Serie A, where they have added 16 of 18 possible points and on the last day of competition they rotated when they beat modest Spezia 1-2, while Simeone’s team conceded their first defeat against him. Alaves by 1-0.
With all these factors on the table, the Spanish team continues to start as a favorite to win at odds [2.60] in a match where both know that the draw can allow them to stay alive in their options to survive in the Champions League at quota [3.00]. We believe, however, that the trajectory of both teams should make us think that Milan will not sell their skin cheaply against a rival who is not fine in the face of rival goal.
Two old rockers like Zlatan Ibrahimovic a [2.30] and Luis Suárez for a fee [2.40] They are presented as the main favorites to score in a match where there should not be many goals, despite the upward trend in that regard in Serie A. Atlético, it is true, has conceded more than usual this season, but he should have a serious defensive behavior in a game of such a level.
We believe that a logical bet could be on the victory of AC Milan at home and that there are less than 2.5 goals in the entire match at odds [5.50]. The game should be at a low pace in the areas and, for sure, we will see the battle in a core with some of the most physical players in Europe such as Marcos Llorente, Kessie or Kondogbia.
An exact score of 1-1 can also bring us a good benefit and does not evict either of them in their chances of passing the round. It is paid to [6.00] that this result can take place in a field with a certain curse for Cholo Simeone. In this scenario he experienced a painful defeat in a Champions League final against Real Madrid and it is his first visit since then.
Finally, we cannot ignore the option of making a more than lucrative combo party for this meeting mixing various factors. In this case, we believe that a victory for Milan with a goal from Kessie – the one who shoots the Lombard penalties – and without goals from Atlético has a super quota of [12.15]. Atlético is going through a bad moment of form and this match comes in the worst place and at the worst time. We’ll see if they have the character to get out of San Siro alive.