In January 1932, the Technology Review magazine of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) published: “Interpreting the events of the past is the only valid method to predict the future. The importance of technology is to have liberated human thought ”.
Before the end of last year, we read dozens of tech, job, and social predictions for 2020. And then the pandemic came.
For example, Linkedin predicted that “flexible work” would no longer be a “privilege for the few”, but rather a general demand, including the redefinition of a new relationship with the office. For entirely different reasons, his analysis was confirmed.
The coronavirus crisis has forced us to find solutions to keep the economy afloat. Everything that already existed, plus new tools implemented in record time, have allowed millions of people to keep their jobs. In Europe, the four-day workday seemed impossible … until the Covid-19 arrived and some companies had to renegotiate wages (and with them, hours and days of work).
Another Linkedin forecast predicted that we would speak more openly at work about mental health. Here, too, they were right, but again under the influence of the virus.
As the World Health Organization recognizes, depression and anxiety cost the world economy a trillion dollars each year. The data is from May 2019, so multiply now to get a better approach to reality.
The lack of health professionals was also on the list: “It is estimated that the deficit will amount to 18 million workers in the next 10 years.” This is not a new issue, but it is the bottom line in many countries – not just the poor – whose systems have shown inefficiencies.
In the successes (and also in the failures) our relationship with the VUCA world (volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous) is present. The anticipation of events, events and processes is not magic or divination, but a scientific analysis for which we must prepare ourselves every day.
And then there is a fundamental factor, human resilience, which allows us to constantly update our capacities to guarantee subsistence.
Where did the forecasts fail until mid-2020? The exit of the market from some large streaming platform was expected due to the excess of offers. At the moment, reality marks another path: greater consumption.
Facebook: Ismael Cala