“Sometimes the problem / it’s not the crimes / the problem is / the prelude to the crimes”
In addition to being defeated at the polls, Trump continues to be defeated in the post-election legal battle. But we still cannot know the obstacles it will put up. Yet now the problem, the real problem, with Trump is his heritage. Because his inheritance is the prelude to Biden’s decisions. Trump, as the acting president of the United States, is a problem and a trap for Biden, the newly elected president, but without that power yet. A problem and a trap for the rest of the world.
The “trade war” is not a wild response from Trump. The North American superpower has needed it to contain the Chinese emergency. Because they speak generically of the “increase in the mountain of world debt” but the most dangerous threat is the gigantic North American debt, which, according to studies from various sources, reaches 600% of its GDP. And it has not stopped growing: its increase during Trump’s term has been greater than the sum of the 14 most developed countries.
At the base of the problem is the US imperial anomaly. A superpower that not only loses economic weight in the world, but no longer dominates it economically, for that reason it has to dominate more and more with its political-military apparatus, and for this it has to maintain it at all costs and at the expense of all subject countries – hence the demands on European countries, and Japan and South Korea to increase their military budget – which has not been an obstacle to the fact that during Trump’s term, military spending, already huge, has increased by 10 %, with an increase of 172,000 million, a figure higher than the GDP of 134 countries in the world.
The North American superpower is experiencing its imperial decline because other centers of world power emerge unstoppably demanding to be treated as equals; and because the struggle of the countries and peoples of the world for their national sovereignty and independent development is advancing.
A change in international economic relations, a turbulent period that the planet is experiencing on its way to multipolarity. A period of transition from a unipolar to a multipolar order that is developing, and the outcome of which will depend on various factors, from the decisions that the American superpower and emerging powers are making, to the struggles of the countries and peoples of the world.
Obama returns to the scene
It is obligatory not to forget that Biden was vice president with Obama, as well as to remember that during Obama’s eight years as president, the United States did not leave a single day of waging wars across the planet, including the day he was handed the Nobel Peace Prize. Obama has waited for the result of the elections in the United States to publicize his book. In his abundant statements to the US and foreign media, he stressed that “I believe that our adversaries have seen us weakened, not only as a consequence of this election, but in recent years. We have these divisions in the body politic that they are convinced they can exploit ”.
In other words, through Obama’s words we can understand the common concern that unites the two fractions of the dominant American elite. America’s decline has become more obvious, and its response has not only caused disaster in the United States, it has also caused disaster in the rest of the world. Furthermore, they are not only burdened with financial burdens, but also with deepening racial and class conflicts. America’s failure to fight COVID-19 is proof, and it has exposed these problems to the rest of the world, which is watching the United States, considered the “beacon of democracy,” collapse. The chilling numbers of infected and deceased – according to The New York Times (at the time of writing this article) about twelve and a half million infected (more than 12,418,700 people) and more than a quarter of a million deceased (at least 257,100 people) – is the hottest of open wounds.
And the disputes between the two fractions of the ruling class of the United States to appropriate a greater proportion of the benefits that they appropriate from the American people and the rest of the peoples of the subject countries only exacerbate the contradictions of the world situation.
Biden has an inheritance and his name is Trump
Biden cannot be expected to overturn all policies made by the Trump administration. That would be naive. The Biden administration will only change Trump’s policies if it finds that they harm America’s interests. However, immediately after the signing of the world’s largest free trade agreement by the economies of Asia and the Pacific – the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) -, and before several key world summits, the virtual BRICS summit – Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa – injected new momentum into multilateralism in the face of the rising tide of US unilateralism. The BRICS meeting, which accounts for about 42 percent of the world’s population and 23 percent of the world’s GDP, comes at a critical time of profound challenges posed by COVID-19 both within the bloc and globally.
Jimmy Carter, former president of the United States, once acknowledged that the United States had only enjoyed 16 years of peace in its 242-year history. It is quite a record for the only truly existing superpower in the world today. And it is also a reality that manifests the crucial role of the military-industrial complex, of the sector of the US monopoly bourgeoisie that has played a key role in US world supremacy.
And this regardless of which party was in power, whether it was the Republican or the Democrat, whether it was now the Trump administration or the Biden administration, the oligarchs and financial conglomerates, called the military-industrial complex, which hold decisive sectors of the US hegemonic power have a key role, especially in times when the United States is heading towards its decline as a superpower.
The United States, before its decline, its military power
The kind of military path the US administration will take under Joe Biden has sparked discussion. Most likely, Biden will continue to stick to the established and traditional path of maintaining America’s global supremacy with his military might. As such, his administration will continue to invest heavily in defense spending to maintain its leadership position in weapons.
In addition, the US will maintain established nuclear deterrence status while keeping up with its vigorous development of strategic nuclear weapons and technology. At the same time, the United States is expected to continue to develop nuclear submarines to take the lead and dominance in strategic weapons talks with Russia.
It is very possible that the United States will make military contractions in the Middle East and Central Asia, but increase its military presence in the Western Pacific region to promote its military deployment: Obama’s old pivot plan in the Asia and Pacific region. It will intensify military activities to show its deterrence capacity and to support its hegemony in the Western Pacific region.
The United States will reestablish and strengthen its military alliance with its traditional allies and consolidate NATO’s status in the world. Meanwhile, in Northeast Asia, the United States will strengthen its relations with Japan and South Korea and give full performance to the roles of the two countries in the region.
“In the councils of government, we must avoid buying unjustified influence, whether sought or not, by the military-industrial complex. There is a risk of a disastrous development of usurped power and that risk will remain. We must never allow the weight of this conjunction to endanger our freedoms or democratic processes ”. Eisenhower’s words in his farewell speech as US president 60 years ago.
“A thousand dead doing / smoke signals / and an Iroquois claiming / the empire in its decline”